Polling the Arabic community

Questions from Al-Jazeera

Al-Jazeera, the famous radio station and journal situated in Qatar, offers another source of information that is celebrating its first birthday at the beginning of the year 2003: Online polling on subjects of public interest for the Arabic world. Questions are regularly changed in order to acquire a variety of subjects. Originally based on 1000-3000 volunteers, taking part in any polling cycle, usually restricted to a few days, that kind of poll should not be overestimated. Nevertheless, it can provide an interesting view on what the Arabs really think of their situ- ation. And by the way, the number of participants has dramatically increased during 2002. From the very beginning in 2002, the average number of participants has risen to more than 20.000 for each polling cycle. It was only at the beginning of military action against Iraq that Al-Jazeera decided, for some unknown reason, to remove its opinion poll from their main page to another page that was less likely to be entered. As a consequence, the number of participants remarkably decreased since March 2003. In May however, actual questions reappeared on the front page. That's why latest polling results are based again on a sufficient number of participants. After having collected most data from February 2002 up to now, I am able to present all essential polling results in the English version. The Arabic text is available on another (handwritten) site. Links to additional information are added, wherever it seems to be covenient. Please note, that latest results are added at the end of the list. Wolfgang Wiesner 05/2003


Please note !

Since September 2003, there is an English service of AL-JAZEERA's online daily that includes regular polling cycles. It should be added that opinion polls, to be found on this site, are not identical with the Arabic polls and are recorded in a diffe- rent way. While the Arabic questions are more detailed and comprising a wider range of subjects, the English language polls seem to be directed to an international public. Such, all translations presented on my own page are still referring to the Arabic service. The original Arabic text, though not published here, will remain to be recorded by BLUEPRINT magazine, as far as there is time and capacity of transla- tion left on my side. Wolfgang Wiesner 09/2003 editor and publisher of BLUEPRINT magazine





(1)
19.2.-22.2.
2002
1.140
participants

Do you predict that worldwide changes, which took
place in the aftermath of September 11 / 2001, could
be related to the Arabs as ...

Arabic cartoons by M. Kahil
It is worth looking at them each day
when searching for polling results !

negative ?
62.9%

positive ?
34.6%
(2) 10.2.-13.2.
1.243
Do you consider that Iran will be
the 2nd target in an U.S. attack ?
yes
19.5%

no
77.6%
(3) 25.2.-28.2.
1.034
Do you consider that the United States of America
will succeed in toppling the regime of Iraq ?
yes
24.1%

no
72.5%
(4) 3.3.-6.3.
1.842
Do you enjoy [Lybian president] Gadhafi`s proposition
in favour of a common state for, both, the Palestinians
and the Israeli ?
yes
19.9%

no
78.4%
(5) 9.3.-12.3.
1.650
Do you consider [Israeli prime minister] Sharon coming out for
conditions of appeasement after the following has happened ?


LE MONDE diplomatique (March edition)
citing HA'ARETZ (18/01/02), Tel Aviv:
Increasing group of Israeli soldiers opposing their task
and describing it as "inhuman towards the Palestinians".
U.S. criticism
of his policy
11.3%

a reactivation of
Palestinian attacks
85.6%

no idea
3.1%
(6) 15.3.-18.3.
1.631


ARAB NEWS, Saudi Arabia (10/04/02):
U.S. credibility at stake, says crown prince of Morocco.


Did the U.S. administration go for an efficient application of
pressure against Sharon, in order to stop Israeli terrorism ?

ARAB NEWS, Saudi Arabia (30/04/02):
Competing to win election funds and Jewish votes, U.S.
Republicans and Democrats are engaged in a mindless
race where each candidate tries to outdo his opponent
in the appeasement of the Jewish community. [opinion]
yes
5.6%

no
93.4%
(7) 21.3.-24.3
1.255
Do you consider that a [public] uprise
might facilitate the beating of Iraq ?
yes
75.2%

no
22.4%
(8) 5.4.-8.4.
2.687
AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (24/04/02):
Anti-American demonstrations in Djakarta expressing the
wish of the world's most numerous Muslim nation to cut
all links between Indonesia and the United States.

What kind of measures could impose a most
efficient popular pressure on America ...

ASHARQ AL-AWSAT, Riyadh (20/04/02):
Four persons wounded in the frame of anti-American
manifestations and actions of emotion in a Jordanian
camp, and during a public congress held in al-Azhar
mosque.
a denial of services to
U.S. ships and planes ?
27.1%

an embargo of
trading goods ?
59.8%

letters of protest sent to
the Bush administration ?
2.4%

other measures ?
10.7%
(9) 2.4.-5.4.
3.141

Headlines of HA'ARETZ, Tel Aviv (15/04/02):
- Germany suspends military equipment sales to Israel
(confirmed by German Defense Minister R. Scharping
on Sunday, April 14)
- Britain puts unofficial embargo on arms exports to Israel
(British newspaper The Guardian citing official sources
on Saturday, April 13)
- Opinion: The problem facing Arab leaders

What kind of measures could be a most efficient
support for the Palestinian Intifada of our days ?


GULF DAILY NEWS, Bahrain (17/04/02):
- Government officials in the Kingdom of Bahrain
are seeing off aid trucks for Palestine.
- Nelson Mandela says in Bahrain that U.S. politics
"are creating chaos on an international level".

ARAB NEWS, Saudi Arabia (12/05/02):
The shift in Palestinian fighting strategy. ... From the
stone-throwing intifada to a war in the normal sense.

the declaration
of a Holy War
50%

the application of
petrol as a weapon
19.2%

the opening of borders
[which would enable all
pro-Palestine volunteers
to enter Jordan and other
neighbouring countries]
18.7%

an economic embargo
[hitting their enemies]
11.3%

no idea
0.8%
(10) 11.4.-14.4.
21.939

MIDDLE EAST ONLINE, London (22/04/02):
The Iraqi president Saddam Hussein pledges 25.000
dollars for each destroyed home in Jenin, Palestine.

Which step, taken by Iraq and directed at a suspension
of oil exportation, would express Iraqi solidarity with
the Palestinians ?

Headlines of Al-JAZEERA, Qatar:.............cartoon
- Iraqi vice president A. expressing belief that military
actions against his country cannot be excluded, even if
foreign inspectors are allowed to come back to resume
their task. (25/04/02)
- Bagdad forces its merchants to study general Islamic
law ("fiqh") when handling affairs. (26/04/02)

demonstration of active
[Panarabic] nationalism
41%

an isolated activity
without any pathos
16%

the request of a similar
decision [made by other
Arabic nations]
41.3%

no idea
1.7%
(11) 14.4.-18.4.
14.978
The reaction of Palestinian authorities on the required
condemnation of self-sacrifice operations will be of
the following kind at the beginning of negotiations...

LA TRIBUNE, Algier (16/04/02):
Le phenomène kamikaze palestinien a encore de l'avenir.
Sharon's policy of security doesn't leave another choice; -
the Palestinian phenomenon of kamikaze still has its future.
seen as a justified act
26.7%

seen as an act that
cannot be justified
69.8%

no idea
3.5%
(12) 18.4.-21.4.
22.939

AL-HYAT, London (8/05/02):
Pakistani theologues stand for a confrontation with the U.S.

Are you in favor of a persistent blooming of the religious
party (Hizbollah) and their military actions against Israel,
even though they lacked success in the first round ?

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (7/05/02):
Two Kurdish organizations in northern Iraq announced their
future cooperation in military actions, carried out on behalf
of the Islamic community.

yes
91.1%

no
7.6%

no idea
1.3%
(13) 21.4.-24.4.
19.903
Is there any probability that a [monitoring] commission,
obliged to report about the national realities, will put
Israel at the origin of the massacres in Jenin ?

..........cartoon
yes
29.4%

no
67.2%

no idea
3.4%
(14) 24.4.-27.4.
16.118
Could it be possible that an Arabic initiative comes into being
after Israeli incursions on the Westbank [i.e. into Palestinian
"autonomous" territory] ?
yes
11.3%

no
86.2%

no idea
2.6%
(15) 28.4.-30.4.
17.283
Will actual Israeli incursions finally succeed in
interrupting Palestinian self-sacrifice operations ?
yes
4.8%

no
93.7%

no idea
1.5%
(16) 30.4.-3.5.
15.391
Which measure would be the best to escape
from the present crisis in Middle East ?

ARAB NEWS, Saudi Arabia (05/2002):
Profiles of courage: U.S. lawmakers stand
up for moral justice in the Middle East.
[A few Congressmen expressing their doubts
about the traditional Middle East policy of
their country that is usually backing Israel.]
continued resistance
79.4%

the launch of some
initiative, meant to
"salvage the Saudis"
15.4%

other measures
5.2%
(17) 3.5.-6.5.
16.955
Do you consider the national security council as
a perfect means of investigation with regard to
the massacres in the camp of Jenin ?
yes
3.9%

no
94.6%

no idea
1.5%
(18) 6.5.-9.5.
18.017
Do you wish the [Palestinian] authority consenting to
an expulsion of Palestinians, prior to any termination
of siege of the Church of Birth [in Bethlehem] ?
yes
12.3%

no
85.4%

no idea
2.3%
(19) 9.5.-12.5.
9.779

Do you cherish a mass rebellion of the Arabic nation,
on behalf of the Palestinian cause, calling for a legal
investigation of domestic events ?

ARAB NEWS, Saudi Arabia (30/04/02):
"Stop the Western media from overruling voice of reason":
Arab League Secretary-General Moussa said that the Arab
countries must finance a global media campaign to explain
their position on the Middle East conflict.

yes
73%

no
22.7%

no idea
4.3%
(21) 15.5.-18.5.
11.778
Do you count on the success of reforms that are now
being contemplated by the Palestinian authorities ?
yes
15.7%

no
80%

no idea
4.3%
(22) 18.5.-21.5.
7.005

ASHARQ AL-AWSAT, Riyadh (13/05/2002):
"Friends of Al-Qaeda" are preparing an assault
on the residency of the Yemenite prime minister.

Are there any commercial means of protection, to be
imposed by Washington on its partners, that are able
to reject the consequences of "September attacks" for
U.S. economy ?

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (23/05/2002):
Lebanon denying U.S. report on a conference between
the [Palestinian religious party] Hizbollah and leaders
of Al-Qaeda, presided by Oussama Bin Laden. Their
meeting should have taken place last March in Lebanon
in order to coordinate further attacks. Both, Hizbollah
and the Lebanese government disclaim any knowledge.

yes
67.7%

no
22.9%

no idea
9.4%
(24) 24.5.-27.5.
12.960
Do you consider Washington to be serious in their
attempt aimed at the suspension of a possible war
between India and Pakistan ?

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (29/05/2002):
U.S. chase of the organized remains of Al-Qaeda and Taliban
drives enemy into Kashmir from where problems are expected.
yes
10.5%

no
86.5%

no idea
3%
(25) 26.5.-26.6.

longtime
polling !
31.5.2002:
4.861


altogether:
8.599
What will be the [essential] outcome of elections
for the National Assembly of the Algerian People ?

RADIO EGYPT (English, 9.475 kHz, 01/06/2002):
The Algerian National Liberation Front FLNA gains
a convincing majority of votes in Algerian elections.
beginning relaxation
of political tensions
21.7% (21.7%)

the formation of
a stable nation
67% (66.9%)

other results
11.2% (11.4%)
(26) 9.6.-12.6.
11.875
Could you imagine the foundation of an [independent]
Palestinian state as a guarantee for the suspension of
[further] commando operations against Israel ?

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (/06/2002):
yes
34.7%

no
62.3%

no idea
3%
(27) 12.6.-15.6.
13.501

ALQUDS-AL-ARABI (the Palestinian daily, 18/06/2002):
- Second rang Al-Qaeda members are forming alliances in
x order to hit U.S. targets.
- Rumours are spread of a recent interview with Bin Laden.
- Moroccan forces arrested individuals suspected of being
x related with Al-QAEDA.


Do you believe in an U.S. report dealing with the matter
of a [terrorist] being accused to plan the detonation of
a radioactive ["dirty"] bomb [in the Washington area] ?

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (14/06/2002 - 10:30 h GMT, 15/06/2002):
Report from their correspondent in Pakistan: About 10 persons
killed and many wounded in a bombing that affected the U.S.A.
consulate in Karachi. A car loaded with explosives caused much
damage to the consulate building, shortly after U.S. secretary of
state Donald Rumsfeld ended his talks with Islamabad. Unknown
Islamic group AL-KANUN confessing the deed.


an early morning president
receiving latest bad news

another model terrorist who
specialized in "dirty" bombs

yes
7.1%

no
89.1%

no idea
3.8%
(28) 15.6.-15.7.

longtime
polling !
10.058



Which would be the best solution to the Kashmir problem
between India and Pakistan ?

ARAB NEWS, Saudi Arabia (29/06/2002):
- Indian Prime Minister Vajpayee yesterday pledged free
x elections in insurgency-wracked Kashmir. Vajpayee is
x hoping the election due by Oct. 14 will be incident-free.
- Separatists have already called for a boycott of the polls,
x alleging that past votes that have brought to power Chief
x Minister Farooq Abdullah’s National Conference party
x were rigged.
- Kashmir activists, meanwhile, have vowed to "sabotage"
x the polls and warned voters not to show up on election day.

taking the matter to the
International Court of
Justice [in Den Haag] ?
18.2%

the installation of a
monitoring system at
the Indian front line ?
4.3%

the organisation of a
public referendum ?
65.6%

other solutions ?
11.9%
(29) 21.6.-24.6.
10.830



Do you appreciate the call for a suspension of [further]
commando operations, intended to cause the retreat of
Israeli forces from occupied areas ?


AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (23/06/2002):
Suleiman Abu Reith, the speaker of Al-Qaeda,
announces Oussama Bin Laden being in good
health. Claiming responsibility for the Djerba
incident, earlier that year, he states the intention
of Al-Qaeda to support the Palestinian cause in
that bombing of a Tunisian synagogue. Citation:
"... as it is raising enthusiasm and the spirit of war in oneself,
when it starts with a specifically succesful operation like this."

Another citation from the statement of Suleiman Abu Reith:
"I'm able to tell you that 98% of the leadership of Al-Qaeda
organisation are still intact and are perfectly handling their
matters."


Do you consider the Al-Qaeda organisation being
able to realize further attacks against America ?

ASHARQ AL-AWSAT, Riyadh (28/06/2002):
Suspicious internet visits in Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are
raising U.S. fears for Al-Qaeda plannings of an assault on
dams or dikes, power stations and telephone centres.
yes
9.8%

no
88.6%

no idea
1.6%
(30) 24.6.-27.6.
16.387
yes
72.1%

no
21.2%

no idea
6.7%
(31) 27.6.-30.6.
(5.579)




Do you predict that the Palestinians will react in favour of
[President] Bush's demand for the change of their leader ?


King Abdallah II of Jordan in an interview conducted by
the French magazine L'EXPRESS, Paris (20/06/2002) :
"One might complain about that leader [Arafat] or another
[Sharon], but it still remains the people's duty to decide
whether a change is convenient or not."





Do you consider the possible success of a military operation,
launched by U.S. forces and intended to overthrow the Iraqi
president ?

"I made it clear to the U.S. what I think of such a possibility,
and I think of [France, Germany, Britain, Russia and Egypt]
being on the same wavelength.......
Everybody is realizing that an attack of Iraq, namely in the
present state of crisis between Israel and Palestine, would
have a devastating influence on the the Middle East."
yes
(29.2)%

no
(66.2)%

no idea
(4.7)%
(32) 30.6.-3.7.
13.053
yes
22.2%

no
73.3%

no idea
4.5%
(33) 3.7.-6.7.
6.717

Will there be a toll of lives to be paid when the U.S.A. veto
the International Criminal Court ['s unrestricted competence],
thus paralyzing its efficiency ?

There was a problem of interpretation when two Arabic words
with a very similar writing and a very different meaning were
mixed up. That problem has now be solved. W.W.


yes
71.5%

no
24.3%

no idea
4.2%
(34) 6.7.-9.7.
6.320

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (14/07/2002):
The Arabic League and Jordan renewing their
opposition directed against an attack on Iraq.


If the dialogue between Iraq and the United Nations leads to
nowhere, will such result open the door for an intensification
of U.S. sentiments against Bagdad ?

ASHARQ AL-AWSAT, Riyadh (19/07/2002):
Malaysian prime minister Mahmod Mahadir declares:
An attack on Iraq will provoke Muslims all over the
world. [Malysia is a multiethnic Islamic nation.]


yes
86.7%

no
10.4%

no idea
2.8%
(36) 15.7.-18.7.
28.559

Do you consider any possibility of the return to royal rule
in Iraq as a substitute for the actual [political] system ?

[ That question is obviously referring to a constellation,
regarded as a practicable alternative and comprising of
Saddam Hussein being replaced by his own son.
]


yes
20.4%

no
74.3%

no idea
5.3%
(38) 21.7.-24.7.
17.398

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (23/07/2002):
Karthum is showing interest in an agreement, to be achieved
in Nairobi, while practising a kind of "cautious confrontation"
at the same time.


Do you predict the realisation of an agreement between
the Sudanese government and the "rebels of salvation" ?

ARAB NEWS, Riyadh (24/07/2002):
The Sudanese government and a delegation of the rebels,
controlling southern Sudan, recently gathered in Nairobi
for talks on a cease-fire. Although both parties left with-
out any definite result, such talks are seen as a first step
towards normalisation. The poor northern part of Sudan,
represented by a Muslim government in Karthum, and the
Christian South, controlled by a rebel army, are already
fighting for political and economic supremacy for many
years. Recent development forced Karthum to consider
a request for support directed to the Arab League.


yes
33.3%

no
58.5%

no idea
8.3%
(39) 24.7.-27.7.
20.543

Do you support a consideration that the actual reinforcement
of Israeli [troops] is nothing but an introduction of beginning
operations, intended to chase all Palestinians [away] ?

After continued Israeli incursions on the Westbank and in the
Gaza region, a new anti-Semitism is culminating in Europe:
HA'ARETZ, a liberal Israeli paper and widely known for its
controversial treatment of subjects related to, both, Israelis
and Palestinians, is dealing with that problem (29/07/2002).

Do you approve of the condemnation of such activities related to
Palestinian opposition and that is founded on Israeli accusations
pleaded before the [United Nation's] Security Council ?
yes
75.5%

no
20.2%

no idea
4.3%
(40) 27.7.-30.7.
31.060
yes
7.9%

no
90.5%

no idea
1.6%
(41) 30.7.-2.8.
25.160

While there is much confusion about an expected U.S. attack
on Iraq, AL-JAZEERA has resumed its polling on that question
and made it a longtime polling (31.7.-30.8.2002). Results will
be communicated as soon as they are known to the editor. In the
frame of a new culmination of Palestinian Intifada and on the
basis of western and Arabic allies warning the U.S. from launch-
ing an attack on Iraq, this seems to be a wise decision. However,
it cannot be excluded that the first news on a senseless military
move of the Bush administration will reach us faster than Al-
JAZEERA's latest polling results. .......... W. W. (06/08/2002)


Will America proceed to hitting Iraq before
a suspension of Palestinian uprise (Intifada) ?

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (04/08/2002), is raising the question:

Countdown on Iraq already started ?

"Has the countdown really been started on the actual system
of power in Iraq, or will that affair turn into nothing more
than an integrating part of psychological warfare, practised
by the United States of America by means of its information
machinery and a gigantic diplomacy on the basis of a pursuit
of political profit ? ... As to the problem, - propagated by the
U.S administration and from which they derive the essential
legitimacy for its annihilation -, does it really lie in the actual
system of power ? Or does it hide that systematic proceeding
of the U.S., finally leading to an opening of Iraq and the entire
Middle East by making use of the "Father of Evil" [Saddam
Hussein], yet without experiencing any consequences."


yes
72.5%

no
22.4%

no idea
5.2%
(47) 20.8.-23.8.
27.629

As to the Arabic nations, decided to avoid an attack
on Iraq, what kind of action should be their duty ?

a diplomatic demarche
18.2%

a normalization of their
relations with Baghdad
43.7%

initialization of a summit
to be held in Baghdad
29.9%

no idea
8.2%
(48) 23.8.-26.8.
28.257

Regarding an attack on Iraq, do you predict a decrease
of its probability in the present situation ?


yes
38.9%

no
57%

no idea
4%
(49) 26.8.-30.8.
(9.976)

What would be the most probable official answer from Syria
to the national alliance that has been proclaimed by opposition
groups in London ?

ARAB NEWS, Riyadh (22/08/02):
Syria expresses solidarity with Riyadh: Prince Abdullah,
the regent of Saudi Arabia, yesterday received a message
from Syrian President Bashar Assad. Political observers
said the message was to express Syria’s solidarity with
Riyadh in the wake of a new US media campaign directed
against the Kingdom. Political observers have emphasized
the need for Arab states taking a joint stand to avoid the
threatened US strike on Iraq, adding that such a war would
have dangerous consequences.


agreement
(13)%

rejection
(75)%

no idea
(11.9)%
(50) 30.8.-2.9.
26.850

Do you predict that the controversy between America and their
allies will lead to a failure of their directive to stage a military
coup against Iraq ?

ARAB NEWS, Riyadh (06/09/02):
Baghdad and fellow Arab states warned US President G. Bush
yesterday that attacking Iraq will "open the gates of hell" in the
Middle East, although White House officials pressed ahead
with a drive to win support for their war plans.


yes
34.6%

no
62.1%

no idea
3.3%
(51) 2.9.-5.9.
28.750

Do you count on the stability of the European position
that is now opposing an attack on Iraq ?


yes
33.1%

no
63.8%

no idea
3%
(52) 5.9.-8.9.
16.405

Do you believe that a global summit could serve as an
appropriate mechanism for the solution of such evident
problems like poverty and development ?


yes
12.2%

no
83.6%

no idea
4.2%
(53) 8.9.-15.9.
54.254

After having entirely surpassed the events of September,
into which direction the U.S. administration would lead
the world ?



a multitude of wars
58.3%

an intellectual change
of comprehension re-
garding the service in
favor of U.S. profits
23.7%

a new effort to draw
the political map
14.4%

the realisation of
peace and salvation
3.6%
(54) 15.9.-19.9.
43.816

Do you confirm that the Arabic nations will support
a military coup, launched against Iraq, in case of the
United Nations passing a [consenting] resolution ?


yes
76.8%

no
20.3%

no idea
2.9%
(55) 19.9.-22.9.
35.483

Are the United States of America likely to launch an
attack on Iraq, even though Iraq accepted the return
of [U.N.] inspectors ?

ARAB NEWS, Riyadh (20/09/02):

Waiting for the invasion of Iraq

Despite all the diplomatic maneuvering by the Bush adminis-
tration at the U. N. in New York, and by the regime of Saddam
Hussein, it now seems quite clear that the United States will be
invading Iraq to institute a change of regime. It’s not a question
of "if"; it’s a question of "when?"

yes
87.1%

no
10.2%

no idea
2.8%
(56) 22.9.-25.9.
37.845

What is behind the U.S. firm decision of launching
a military coup against Iraq ?

ASHARQ AL-AWSAT, Riyadh (19/09/02):
According to U.S. intelligence sources, it is considered to send
more than 800 special troops to the southern part of the Arabian
peninsula in order to track members of Al-Qaeda in Jemen. The
troops should operate from their base in Djibouti (Somalia).

The Republic of Jemen is known to oppose such plans.

destruction of the
alleged weapons of
mass annihilation
3.7%

control of the
petrol sources
83.4%

other reasons
12.8%
(59) 3.10.-6.10.
28.057

Do you consider the existence of a relation between the
probable U.S. attack on Iraq and plans for a deportation
of Palestinians to [Iraqi] locations ?



AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (29/09/02): Driving out the Palestinians.

yes
76.4%

no
18.2%

no idea
5.3%
(60) 6.10.-9.10.
20.363

Will there be a boycott of the peace negotiations in the
civil war that is haunting the southern part of Sudan ?


yes
16.3%

no
75.6%

no idea
8%
(61) 12.10.-15.10.
44.559

Would you like a recommendation of the [Arabic] ministers
of information, assembled in the Council of Cooperation, to
silence the channel of "Al-Jazeera" and to close all of their
editorial offices ?



yes
20.2%

no
77.4%

no idea
2.4%
(62) 15.10.-18.10.
34.278

Those operations directed against the French oil tanker [in
southern Jemen] and against U.S. forces in Kuwait, are they
showing a reconstruction of Al-Qaeda's internal organisation ?


yes
60.4%

no
30%

no idea
9.6%
(63) 18.10.-21.10.
30.466

As to the leaders of the Iraqi Kurds, are they right to settle
their score with the regime when it comes to a [military]
adventure in that country ?


yes
21.2%

no
74.9%

no idea
3.9%
(64) 21.10.-24.10.
30.826

If the Iraqi president decided to pardon political prisoners,
would that facilitate an extensive reduction of the political
tensions ?


yes
47%

no
47.6%

no idea
5.4%
(65)
25.9.-25.10.

longtime
polling
17.468

As to the [general] election [results] in Morocco,
what [kind of development] are they indicating ?

The Moroccan minister of the interior, Driss Jettou, has been
elected in the September 2002 general elections and confirmed
by King Mohammed VI as the new prime minister of Morocco.
The general elections are characterized by an increase of votes
in favor of the moderate Islamists. An article, published by the
French daily LE MONDE (30/09/2002)), is indicating political
stability in the North African kingdom.

the beginning of
a desired change
34.3%

preservation of the
political climate
60%

another development
5.6%
(66) 27.10.-30.10.
49.791

Do you cherish the Libyan decision
to withdraw from the Arab League ?

ARAB NEWS, Riyadh (28/10/02):
Egypt and Saudi Arabia want Arab countries to work to-
ward presenting a united front to the world, the Saudi
Foreign Minister Prince Saud Al-Faisal said yesterday.
The comments follow Libya’s decision last week to with-
draw from the Arab League in protest at what it said was
the failure of Arab states to take a stronger stance against
any US attack on Iraq and Israeli attempts to crush a Pales-
tinian uprising.

yes
73%

no
24.4%

no idea
2.6%
(67) 30.10.-2.11.
30.457

Would you agree that the new Palestinian government
is suitable to the ambitions of the Palestinian people ?


yes
8.4%

no
82.7%

no idea
8.8%
(68) 2.11.-5.11.
34.272

Will the Turkish army allow the Islamists to take over
[political] power in Turkey ?

THE STRAITS TIMES, Singapore (05/11/02):
Propelled by voter anger over a two-year economic crisis, a
party with Islamic roots easily won the national elections in
Turkey
held on November 3, such sweeping a corrupt govern-
nment from power and igniting fears of a showdown with a
staunchly secular military.
Projections by Anatolia showed the Justice party taking 361
seats in the 550-member Parliament, meaning that the party
can form a government without any coalition partners - the
first time in 15 years that a party has been able to rule alone.
Mr. Tayyip Erdogan, the party's leader, immediately moved
to calm fears of a shift to religion, emphasising stability and
a pro-European Union outlook.

yes
17.7%

no
77.4%

no idea
4.9%
(69) 5.11.-8.11.
34.534

Will America proceed to an attack on Iraq in case of
a Security Council's decision that doesn't include the
application of [military] force ?

BBC NEWS, London (08/11/02):
The UN Security Council has unanimously endorsed a long-
awaited tough resolution, designed to force Iraq to give up
its weapons of mass destruction.

yes
81.1%

no
15.4%

no idea
3.5%
(70) 8.11.-11.11.
43.091

Will Arabic [TV channels] react in favor of such U.S. voices
urging to stop the production of further [lies] made in Israel ?

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (05/11/02):
Baghdad is expecting the participation of Israel in a war
against their country.

yes
45.8%

no
54.2%
(71) 11.11.-14.11.
32.784

As to the latest events, are they really proving an opposition
against the military attack of Iraq, even though the prohibition
of public demonstrations never ceased to be in force ?


yes
76.5%

no
17.3%

no idea
6.2%
(72) 14.11.-17.11.
40.163

After Bin Laden's latest recording, do you consider [his] orga-
nization of Al-Qaeda still being able to launch further attacks ?


yes
79.5%

no
15.3%

no idea
5.2%
(73) 17.11.-20.11.
39.270

Do you think that the proceedings of a [weaponry] inspection
in Iraq will penetrate [their target] with absolute neutrality ?


yes
10.3%

no
86.7%

no idea
3%
(75) 23.11.-26.11.
32.950

Do you consider those recent attacks that were aiming at
American citizens in some Arabic countries as being ....


the expression of a
popular reaction ?
81.8%

a realisation of Al-
Qaeda operations ?
13.2%

[of other origin]
5%
(77) 29.11.-2.12.
43.044

Do you appreciate that coup against Israeli
interest outside of an occupied Palestine ?

[This question is obviously referring to the Mombasa
incident (28/11/02) where Israeli citizens were killed
and wounded in their Kenyan holiday resort.]

yes
87.5%

no
10.2%

undecided
2.3%
(78) 30.11.-7.12.
40.820

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (29/11/02):
Iraqi bloodshed in an U.S.-British air raid. Planes, that
entered Iraq, came from their U.S. bases in Kuwait. As
to Iraqi headquarters, mainly civil institutions were hit.


Do you expect the neutrality of weaponry inspectors in Iraq
to cause Washington to abandon their pretext for hostilities ?

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (03/12/02):
Iraqi coast guard opened fire on approaching boats
in order to protect the coast of neighbouring Kuwait.
AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (07/12/02):
Saddam Hussein apologized for the invasion of Kuwait.
A report, comprising all Iraqi programs of rearmament,
was handed over to the U.N. commission in Baghdad.


yes
21.2%

no
75.5%

no idea
3.3%
(79) 7.12.-10.12.
33.600

Do you estimate that the United States are beginning
to cut off their relations with Saudi-Arabia ?


yes
61.6%

no
34.8%

no idea
3.6%
(80) 7.12.-14.12.
40.796

Will it be favourable for the Iraqi [government] to proceed
meeting [all] international exigencies in the shadow of the
U.S. who are decided to attack them ?

AL-JAZEERA, Doha / Qatar (12/12/02):
Headline: "Washington and Doha declaring that there are
no military advantages in any [direct] relations with Iraq."
"The face to face meeting between U.S. secretary of state
Donald Rumsfeld and the foreign minister of Qatar on the
evening of December 11 has given the official blessing for
a manifold presence of U.S. military on their base in Qatar.
It was Qatar that had left a community of 2000 on their base
at disposition of the U.S. without the signature [of a treaty],
which could turn out an advantage when the time has come."


yes
52.9%

no
43.4%

no idea
3.7%
(81) 14.12.-17.12.
31.119

Will Turkey's relation to the world of Islam suffer
from Turkey's affiliation with the European Union ?


yes
43.6%

no
51.4%

no idea
5%
(82) 14.12.-21.12.
12.430

A relaxation of the Russian position in the Iraq issue,
will it turn to one of the following results / positions ?


the predominance
of joint U.S. and
Russian interests ?
64.6%

the conviction of
a substitution of
the Iraqi regime ?
25.9%

other results ?
9.4%
(83) 21.12.-24.12.
19.008

Will there be a transformation of the Council for a Coope-
ration of the Gulf [States] from a political assembly into
a mere coalition of economic [interests] ?


yes
65.4%

no
22.8%

no idea
11.8%
(84) 24.12.-27.12.
34.597

Do you estimate America willing to declare war against
North Korea in order to care for their nuclear weapons ?

BBC NEWS, London (01/01/03):
"US seeks diplomatic solution in North Korea – US President
George Bush says America is involved in a diplomatic show-
down with North Korea, not a military one."

yes
13.3%

no
84.5%

no idea
2.2%
(87)
30.12.02
-2.1.03

first result
registered
in 2003
37.320

As to the declarations of those Arabic [countries] that abstain
from participating in a most probable war on Iraq, will they be
[taken as] .....

serious ?
12.1%

not serious ?
85.1%

otherwise ?
2.8%
(3)
4.1.-11.1.
3.231

Will the declarations regarding a liberation of Iraq, that are now
being made by Pres. Bush, turn [sooner or later] into a desperate
construction of excuses from Washington [intended to justify] the
invasion ?

[Additional polling that completes a special feature on Iraq.]
yes
82.5%

no
15.1%

no idea
2.4%
(4)
5.1.-8.1.
37.721

Who is responsible for the weakness
of the official Arabic position ?

[i.e. the official Arabic position in
the Iraqi question and a common
attitude towards U.S. foreign poli-
cy under the Bush administration
]

AL-JAZEERA, Qatar (11/01/03):
Headline: "Iraq criticizes the common Arabic position towards
U.S. intimidations." The Iraqi vice president Tariq Aziz is cited
from a speech he made in Algiers during his recent visit of dif-
ferent countries in the Arabic world. The above photo shows T.
Aziz shaking hands with the Algerian minister of foreign affairs.

the great powers of
the Arabic world
83.2%

U.S. politics
7.1%

the smaller countries
of the Arabic world
6.7%

no idea
3%
(5)
11.1.-14.1.
(15.487)

Do you consider the assistance of foreign troups in the
overthrow of despotic regimes as being helpful for the
nations concerned ?

Electronic attack on AL-JAZEERA's server: Manipulation
of polling results by external activity. As BLUEPRINT has
recorded two interim results of the actual polling, I am now
able to reconstruct the genuine polling results ! W. Wiesner

date: 11/01 — participants: 7.082 — results:
yes: 16.8% — no: 81% — no idea: 2.1%

date: 12/01 — participants: 15.487 — results:
yes: 17.3% — no: 80.6% — no idea: 2.1%

Usually, figures from intermediate results and final results
don't differ too much, i.e. only within the bounds of some
0.1%. This time however, the final result presented itself
with the following figures:
date: 14/01 — participants: 75.759 — results:
yes: 59.3% — no: 39.7% — no idea: 1.1%
By the way, the total of participants is exceeding any
reasonable number of voters that has been recorded
so far (=> compare with earlier pollings). It simply
looks like the result of "automatic multiple voting".




Whoever launched that electronic attack on AL-JAZEERA,
they should be aware that there is no fooling the people as it
used to be. The proof: Just look at the pictures taken during
anti-war manifestations in Rawalpindi (Pakistan), Damascus
(Syria), Amman (Jordan) and Cairo (Egypt)
[left to right and
top to bottom, as reported by AL-JAZEERA, 18/01/03].

yes
(17.3)%

no
(80.6)%

no idea
(2.1)%
(–)
29.1.-1.2.
31.583

Could you imagine the people of Iraq fighting against
U.S. troops that are invading their country ?

Headlines from AL-JAZEERA (31/01/2003):
– Intense consultations among Arab leaders on the Iraqi crisis.
– Washington in trouble: A "soft diplomacy" towards Kuwait
xxand Saudi-Arabia.


yes
71.5%

no
25.7%

no idea
2.8%
(–)
13.2.-16.2.
11.269

As to the last letter from Oussama Bin Laden, will it make
rise the Arabic and Islamic nations against their regimes ?

AL-JAZEERA (11/02/2003):
Another tape record from Bin Laden accuses the socialistic
regimes of certain Arabic nations as being alienated from
Islamic belief.

yes
34.9%

no
56.4%

no idea
8.7%
(–)
16.2.-19.2.
30.737

With regard to the [Iraqi] crisis, could the conclusion reached
by any Arabic summit be advantageous for the solution of that
crisis ?



yes
20.1%

no
76.9%

no idea
3%
(–)
19.2.-22.2.
65.395

Do you support a call for Al-Qaeda organisation
in order to help expel U.S. troops from the Gulf ?



yes
87%

no
10.2%

no idea
2.8%
(–)
22.2.-25.2.
(43.679)

Who could be held responsible for the failure in reaching
a common conclusion during the extraordinary summit of
the Arabic nations ?

ARAB NEWS, Riyadh (2/03/2003):
– "There is No Future For the Arab League"
"Drama at Arab League Summit" – citations:

Sharm El-Sheikh, 2 March 2003 — Leaders from 22 Arab
countries yesterday strongly opposed the planned US-led
military attack on Iraq as a threat to Arab national security,
and said their countries would not participate in any war.

A final communique issued after the one-day summit here also
blasted the “attempts to impose changes in the region,” in a
reference to US demands that President Saddam Hussein be re-
moved from power.

The general peaceful atmosphere at the summit, however, was
broken by an open UAE call for Saddam Hussein to step down,
and by an attack by Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi’s against
Saudi Arabia.

Crown Prince Abdullah, who led the Kingdom’s delegation,
threatened to withdraw from the conference after an angry
exchange of words with the Libyan leader. .....

interim result
of 24/02/03 :


Kuwait and
Saudi-Arabia
(66.6)%

Egypt
(17.2)%

Lebanon
(4)%

no idea
(12.2)%
(–)
2.3.-5.3.
52.066

Would it cost a toll of lives to reach an agreement
of the Arabic nations, regarding a rejection of any
attack on Iraq or the support of initiatives intended
to avoid the war ?



yes
33.9%

no
63.9%

no idea
2.2%
(–)
5.3.-8.3.
48.038

Could you imagine the political parties of Iran, once having
received a common Arabic judgement, to adopt its point of
view in the frame of their own revolutionary symbolism ?



yes
31.9%

no
60.8%

no idea
7.3%
(–)
14.3.-17.3.
48.573

What attitude will dominate the climate of a summit between
America, Britain and Spain on the issue of the Iraqi crisis ?



A reunion for the
declaration of war
70.1%

Assembled partners
refraining from war
3.2%

The search for an
escape route from
the current situation
24.6%

no idea
2.2%
(–)
17.3.-20.3.
111.886

As to the United States of America, will they succeed in
overthrowing the regime of Iraq's president Saddam ?



yes
42.1%

no
51.5%

no idea
6.4%
(–)
20.3.-22.3.
55.910

Do you predict that the U.S. will be making use of chemical,
biological and radioactive weapons in their war against Iraq ?

The rotten regime of Saddam Hussein and their secret weapons.

In a televised speech,
U.S. president George
W. Bush announces the
beginning of military
action against Iraq (20
March 2003, 4:15 a.m.
Central European Time).
At almost the same time,
the people of Baghdad
experience the first air
raid of Gulf War III.

yes
77.1%

no
19.9%

no idea
3.1%
(–)
27.3.-30.3.
10.675

Western sources report that the Bush administration has
accused the Syrian government for their logistic support
of Saddam Hussein's army. Syria denies any support and
declares such accusation being founded on the fact that
U.S. troops recently encountered difficulties during their
invasion of Iraq. [31/03/2003]


Do you consider the [coming] elections in Syria as a
means to indicate Syrian "sentiments of the street" ?

AL-JAZEERA (16/04/03):
Headline: "Syria rejects U.S. accusations, considering
them as mere intimidations and inventions."
Syria condemns U.S. accusations, directed against them
and regarding the [supposed] development of chemical
weapons, as intimidations and inventions that serve the
cause of Israel.

The Syrian council of ministers announced in an official
bulletin that "an intensification of the language of intim-
idations and the use of it to express those accusations, is
just another aspect for which such Americans can be held
responsible who are expressing their anti-Syrian attitude.
They are aspiring to the benefits of determination and the
influence they exert over national decisions and the posi-
tions of (Arabic) nationalists."


yes
25.8%

no
69.7%

no idea
4.6%
(–)
21.3.-21.4.
5.815

Could you realize that the multitude of wars, launched by
the U.S., has caused the hatred of all nations involved ?



yes
89.9%

no
8.9%

no idea
1.2%
(–)
21.4.-24.4.
33.845

What do you consider to be
the most important subject to the poeple of Iraq ?



the presence of
foreign [troops]
50.3%

humanitarian aid
22.5%

the formation of
a new government
22.8%

no idea
4.5%
(–)
6.5.-9.5.
29.442

Do you expect the formation of a
democratic government in Iraq ?



yes
19.2%

no
76.8%

no idea
4.1%
(–)
15.5.-18.5.
24.006

Do you expect continued attacks in the Gulf region
after the detonations of Ryadh ?



yes
85.3%

no
9.1%

no idea
5.6%
(–)
24.5.-27.5.
36.935

Who will be the main profiteer of a [United Nations']
resolution, intended to lift the economic ban from Iraq ?



U.S. occupation
86.5%

the people of Iraq
11.2%

no idea
2.3%
(–)
27.5.-30.5.
38.788

Regarding the [suicide] attacks that hit U.S. troops in Iraq,
how could they be interpreted :

According to different reports, launched by AL-JAZEERA
(i.e. 15/06/2003) and western sources, U.S. troops are re-
peatedly attacked in Iraq. The town of Falujah seems to be
a center of rebellion. Those incidents are accompanied by
a growing frustration of Arabic people when it comes to
the fact that weapons of mass destruction cannot be found
in Iraq, despite former U.S. accusations that have finally
led to an occupation of that country.

as the beginning
of a fight against
occupation ?
77.4%

as the remainings
of a resistance
in favor of the
late regime ?
18.4%

no idea
4.1%
(–)
2.6.-5.6.
31.874

As to the Arabic presentation on the summit of Sharm El Sheikh,
does it put an end to the minor role of the Arabic League ?

This question is referring to the meeting of U.S. president Bush
and Egypt's president Mubarak on June 3, 2003. In that meeting,
other leaders of the Arabic world took part, like Crown Prince
Abdallah from Saudi Arabia and the King of Jordan. The Saudi
Crown Prince acted on behalf of the Arabic League in Beirut
who thus put their propositions, intended to solve the conflict
between Israelis and Palestinians. [Info based on U.S. report]

yes
69.8%

no
23.4%

no idea
6.8%
(–)
1.6.-1.7.

longtime
polling
(119.731)

Do you favor the questionable and self-sufficient positions
of Saudi Arabia, leading to a violation of their own system
of laws ?



yes
(13.8)%

no
(85.8)%

no idea
(0.3)%
(–)
21.5.-21.6.

longtime
polling
37.156

Which aspect should dominate our relationship
with Al-Qaeda organisation ?



the solution of a
security problem
18.6%

the opening
of a dialogue
67.8%

no idea
13.6%
(–)
20.6.-23.6.
30.124

Do you consider the World Economic Forum in Jordan to be
defining its goal in the speeding up of a normalisation (of its
relations) with Israel ?



yes
88.6%

no
6.9%

no idea
4.4%
(–)
23.6.-26.6.
42.028

Do you consider the actual resistance in Iraq to be turning
into a national uprise ("a matter of the people") ?

AL-JAZEERA (30/06/03):
"The U.S. are launching another attack against Iraqi resistance."
"U.S. occupation forces, including jet fighters and armored cars,
attacked more than 20 targets in the region north of Baghdad in
an effort to stop armed resistance."

yes
82%

no
15.1%

no idea
3%
(–)
29.6.-2.7.
(19.983)

Do you cherish Ghadafi's proposition favoring the formation
of a single state for, both, Palestinians and Israelis ?



yes
(24.5)%

no
(73.4)%

no idea
(2.1)%
(–)
4.8.-7.8.
38.592

Do you support a cease-fire between Palestinian squads and Israel
after the latest proceedings ?



yes
67.1%

no
32.9%
(–)
7.8.-10.8.
33.032

As a result of a blow on the persuasion that Israel might release even the
rest of those Palestinians held in custody, the following would happen:

WASHINGTON POST (12/08/2003):
Headline: "Back-to-Back Suicide Bombings Rupture Mideast Calm"
"Suicide bombers blew themselves up at a strip mall in Israel and a bus stop
at a Jewish West Bank settlement Tuesday, killing two Israelis, shattering a
summer of relative calm and raising new doubt about the fate of a shaky
Mideast truce."

the end of cease-
fire and a return
to resistance
68.1%%

continuation of
the negotiated
modus vivendi
7.1%

an increase of
U.S. pressure
on Israel
24.8%
(–)
10.8.-13.8.
35.912

Do you predict Israel realizing their threat against all those from
Syria and Lebanon, involved in that (recent) bombardment of
Israeli (farmers), which had been carried out by Hizbollah ?



yes
47.1%

no
52.9%

no idea
%
(–)
9.9.-12.9.
44.723

Quand l'université arabe de Kaboul se présente avec une délégation
à une réunion des autorités iraquiennes dans leurs rassemblements,
ça peut être considéré comme :

When the Arabic University of Kabul presents itself with a delegation
at a reunion of Iraqi authorities in their assemblies, should that be
considered as :




soumission à la pression américaine ?
a submission to American pressure ?
84.5 %

un pas pour retrouver sa
souveraineté à l'Iraque ?

a step towards renewal
of Iraqi authority ?
15.5 %

(–)
12.9.-15.9.
44.400

L'Amérique, a-t-elle réussi dans sa guerre contre la soi-disant
terreur, deux ans après les événements de Septembre ?

Did America succeed in their war against the so-called terrorism
after the two years that followed the September incidents ?



oui / yes
9%

non / no
91%
(–)
18.9.-21.9.
27.054

Peut-on compter sur la soustraction de Washington face à
l'obstruction israélien de contacter Arafat quand il s'agit du
"feuille de route" (route map) ?

When it comes to the "route map", is it possible to count on
Washington drawing back, as soon as it faces Israeli refusal
to contact Arafat ?



oui / yes
81.5%

non / no
18.5%

Please note !
Some additional polling results that are covering latest proceedings in
"post-war" Iraq have been embedded in a brand-new BLUEPRINT site:

Independence Day 2003

Have a closer look at a widespread resistance against U.S. occupation.

no.
date
participants

subject

possible answers
[percentage]



        The Breaking News on Central Asia can be obtained from
        another website, compiled by  Wolfgang Wiesner  on the
        basis of Arabic publications (AL-JAZEERA, AL-HYAT,..).

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